NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970dab0b74ae35835fef12a63f824a981a2e8bd791d6a5d897d8c198b7a05581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Spurs, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans | 55c | 15,019$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,758.55 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans | 55c | 11,902$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,402.36 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 45c | 11,459$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 46c | 1,263$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Pelicans | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…8687backed Spurs | 48c | 886$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…bf69backed Spurs | 47c | 877$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Spurs | 47c | 422$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Spurs | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…80cbbacked Spurs | 8c | 394.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 44c | 373.34$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 55c | 363.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…5f60backed Pelicans | 53c | 356$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…7720backed Pelicans | 52c | 354$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans | 53c | 342.78$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 46c | 306.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…626abacked Pelicans | 53c | 277$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…f73fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 277$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Spurs | 45c | 258.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…5688backed Pelicans | 52c | 255$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Pelicans | 49c | 254.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c85…f942backed Pelicans | 53c | 244$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Spurs | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Spurs | 51c | 199.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Pelicans | 54c | 186.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 51c | 179.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 45c | 153.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Spurs | 46c | 126.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…6869backed Pelicans | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 46c | 101.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 98.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Spurs | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Pelicans | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Spurs | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pelicans | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…5975backed Pelicans | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…6976backed Pelicans | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…a150backed Pelicans | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans | 56c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…92bdbacked Spurs | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 259 | 30.5%79 W · 180 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Spurs | 46c | 39.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pelicans | 52c | 38.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Spurs | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Spurs | 46c | 34.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d2…a162backed Pelicans | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…9e1abacked Pelicans | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Spurs | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…9977backed Pelicans | 55c | 27.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…8707backed Pelicans | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d8e6backed Pelicans | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…2380backed Pelicans | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 46c | 26.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Pelicans | 54c | 26.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…2bd0backed Pelicans | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…60a4backed Pelicans | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pelicans | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…bbaebacked Pelicans | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…0e40backed Pelicans | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 49c | 21.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Pelicans vs. SpursPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.