Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Kicker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171fb76f1aa32715e6b968b8fadf274e3257c8001654f51c12375552a22af29c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villanuevaof Villanueva, Kicker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7478…b748backed Villanueva | 69c | 12,490$8,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Villanueva | 36c | 4,236$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.96 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kicker | 39c | 2,896$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Villanueva | 24c | 2,639$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.07 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Kicker | 40c | 2,505$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.27 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Villanueva | 34c | 2,000$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | +29.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Villanueva | 63c | 1,695$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.09 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…6e27backed Villanueva | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Villanueva | 65c | 1,500$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.96 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Kicker | 67c | 1,428$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.74 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kicker | 66c | 1,070$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.78 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Villanueva | 58c | 1,066$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Kicker | 66c | 651.55$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.21 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Villanueva | 24c | 363$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Kicker | 32c | 325.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Kicker | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Kicker | 35c | 232.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kicker | 37c | 227.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Kicker | 17c | 206.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Kicker | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Villanueva | 43c | 187.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Villanueva | 40c | 183.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1,981 | 46.2%916 W · 1,065 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Villanueva | 60c | 182.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Kicker | 28c | 181.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Villanueva | 67c | 179.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Kicker | 41c | 169.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Villanueva | 36c | 164.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Kicker | 61c | 164.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Villanueva | 33c | 146.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Kicker | 51c | 146.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kicker | 48c | 137$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Villanueva | 61c | 135$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Kicker | 54c | 101.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Villanueva | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Kicker | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.46per pick | 16cpaid | +344.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Villanueva | 66c | 95.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…8e5fbacked Villanueva | 22c | 78.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kicker | 67c | 67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Villanueva | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Kicker | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 26cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Kicker | 54c | 35.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kicker | 59c | 33.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Villanueva | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Kicker | 39c | 29.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Kicker | 48c | 28.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Villanueva | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Villanueva | 55c | 25.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…5a2fbacked Kicker | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Kicker | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…3eb8backed Villanueva | 61c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Kicker | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.