NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ba8f6cfee072444e7d299a256c025f46661448144187dfd759121b308ccc6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 230,711$111,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,581.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Penguins | 27c | 68,682$18,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,834 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 63,868$33,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,816.95 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets | 73c | 53,571$38,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,664.2 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Penguins | 52c | 44,400$22,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,989 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Penguins | 48c | 34,083$16,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,359.63 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Penguins | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penguins | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 27,737$12,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750.56 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 27,000$12,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,040 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 26,588$13,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,350.62 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 51c | 19,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Penguins | 52c | 18,453$9,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,595.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 51c | 16,938$8,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.03 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 52c | 16,790$8,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,794.52 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 52c | 12,274$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.3 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 52c | 11,741$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.21 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Penguins | 52c | 10,126$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.62 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 7,789$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.98 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 5,824$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.78 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 52c | 5,488$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.08 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Penguins | 54c | 5,450$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.74 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 5,256$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.88 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Penguins | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.95 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Penguins | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.91 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Penguins | 53c | 4,591$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.47 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Penguins | 52c | 4,536$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.72 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Penguins | 53c | 4,400$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 51c | 4,223$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 54c | 4,112$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.98 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Penguins | 67c | 4,074$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Penguins | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Penguins | 52c | 3,942$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.91 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 3,631$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 53c | 3,556$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.68 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Penguins | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 3,166$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.97 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Penguins | 67c | 3,149$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 53c | 3,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Penguins | 52c | 2,972$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.44 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 23c | 2,776$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Blue Jackets | 75c | 2,603$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.21 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Penguins | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Penguins | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Penguins | 32c | 2,443$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.44 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets | 64c | 2,348$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.12 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Penguins | 53c | 2,243$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 28c | 2,198$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.92 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Penguins | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Penguins | 6c | 2,083$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Penguins | 50c | 2,041$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.41 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Penguins | 50c | 2,006$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Penguins | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 1,986$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.47 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Penguins | 53c | 1,940$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 52c | 1,859$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.36 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 52c | 1,700$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 1,662$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.93 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Penguins | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,553$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 1c | 1,444$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 39c | 1,395$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.56 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins | 57c | 1,380$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.85 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Blue Jackets | 71c | 1,273$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Penguins | 52c | 1,193$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.84 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,144$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Penguins | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Penguins | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Penguins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Penguins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Penguins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Penguins | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Penguins | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.34 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 26c | 999.77$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets | 43c | 986.68$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.41 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Penguins | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb136…cd22backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 950$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Penguins | 55c | 938.92$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.24 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 9c | 869.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Penguins | 25c | 867.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.82 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…2c2bbacked Penguins | 54c | 850$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Penguins | 54c | 846.22$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Penguins | 53c | 743$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.79 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsthis page
- Blue Jackets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.