NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac496e1ae65fce5fa68ddad165271071f22037791399a84705dee4cd568953ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 53c | 20,520$10,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,649.1 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Under | 47c | 17,000$7,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,990 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 9,787$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.09 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 4,820$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.26 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 3,337$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.97 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,160$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.68 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 1,399$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.17 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 47c | 862.11$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.88 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 800$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 452$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 47c | 371.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 169.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 46c | 139.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 49c | 97.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 96.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 54c | 92.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 92.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…95eebacked Under | 46c | 79.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 64.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 47c | 56.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…c64cbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 46.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 40.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…3f0abacked Over | 54c | 38.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 54c | 29.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…e22bbacked Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…c387backed Over | 52c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0de…84b1backed Over | 52c | 19.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843f…a78bbacked Over | 52c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…8724backed Over | 52c | 19.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…0dd5backed Over | 52c | 19.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…1074backed Over | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…4c28backed Over | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…2a1ebacked Over | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…dc19backed Over | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…3a0cbacked Over | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. PenguinsBlue Jackets won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.