CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs G2 Ares (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027034c27f20da5fce0b33aea58090a9eaf72590cb217cbe09bf68967a7bbabc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed G2 Ares | 57c | 1,802$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.06 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 1,720$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 937.41$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.52 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed G2 Ares | 37c | 469.4$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 49c | 466.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed G2 Ares | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed G2 Ares | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 376.87$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 353$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed G2 Ares | 13c | 303.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 284.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 251.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed G2 Ares | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 Ares | 57c | 248.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 225.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 222.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked G2 Ares | 45c | 217.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed G2 Ares | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 Ares | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed G2 Ares | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked G2 Ares | 55c | 190.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed G2 Ares | 18c | 154.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed G2 Ares | 53c | 150.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 49c | 148.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked G2 Ares | 11c | 130.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 115.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed G2 Ares | 54c | 113.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 112.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 108.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 104.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 102.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed G2 Ares | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed G2 Ares | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked G2 Ares | 26c | 75.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked G2 Ares | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked G2 Ares | 48c | 72.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…3906backed G2 Ares | 31c | 64.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed G2 Ares | 48c | 61.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Ares | 51c | 59.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked G2 Ares | 19c | 55.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed G2 Ares | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked G2 Ares | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffa…a361backed G2 Ares | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 44.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…0fe3backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 40.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed G2 Ares | 26c | 39.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 39.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed G2 Ares | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked G2 Ares | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed G2 Ares | 47c | 36.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 36.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked G2 Ares | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…08dfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…0fcabacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…e0ddbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…3eb8backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 28.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed G2 Ares | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…2e58backed G2 Ares | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…a6c3backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs G2 Ares (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.