Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50bde39a32042b3ad61d979fc481b7f7c863c56e211d6da71e44f8af614d35d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $839,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,026,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 41c | 163,421$67,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,801.72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 82,803$48,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,349.67 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 53,703$26,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,630.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 48,832$28,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,715.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 41c | 35,338$14,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,846.64 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 27,610$16,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,015.92 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 42c | 25,031$10,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,518.57 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 59c | 23,963$14,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,109.46 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 17,742$10,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,416.5 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 17,316$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,043.15 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 58c | 12,499$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.68 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,113$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 11,923$6,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.26 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 11,842$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.37 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 58c | 10,577$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,187.71 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 0c | 10,217$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 59c | 7,164$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.58 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 6,736$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 41c | 6,465$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 6,297$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.79 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 42c | 6,090$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 41c | 5,200$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 4,785$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.3 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 59c | 4,725$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.72 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 41c | 4,591$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 3,930$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 59c | 3,087$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.56 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 42c | 2,857$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 21c | 2,504$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.94 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.97 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 54c | 2,449$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 43c | 2,436$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.52 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 41c | 2,186$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.34 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 18c | 2,150$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 20c | 1,995$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,984$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.78 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,609$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…e53bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,474$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 12c | 1,157$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 1,148$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b9…8665backed Yes | 16c | 1,093$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 15c | 1,073$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,072$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 962$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.96 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 58c | 962$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.87 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 59c | 936.11$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…2b46backed No | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c00…ed33backed Yes | 58c | 765$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 58c | 739$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.2 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…71c8backed Yes | 58c | 735$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yes | 28c | 709.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6797backed No | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 4c | 687.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 41c | 676$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 39c | 669$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.77 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 661.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 38c | 654.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 62c | 653.44$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.14 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 640.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…fee5backed Yes | 59c | 628.68$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 42c | 595.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.86 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 17c | 591.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 588.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 43c | 582.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 59c | 562.71$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 25c | 557.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 26c | 546.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x446c…d61fbacked Yes | 57c | 545.32$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 59c | 511.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…88e9backed Yes | 16c | 505.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?No won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.