Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x661631f539ff45b22a16229e8142bc052c33797b5b396c464983afdf290d6809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 108,597$55,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,933.08 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 48c | 30,452$14,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,834.82 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 49c | 24,890$12,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,693.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 49c | 18,888$9,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,632.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 17,641$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,053.99 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 50c | 17,516$8,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 13,616$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.98 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 10,791$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.88 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 28c | 9,999$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 49c | 7,903$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.53 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 49c | 6,020$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 48c | 5,787$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.24 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 48c | 5,486$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 5,193$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.97 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 4,980$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.87 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 48c | 4,732$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.73 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 49c | 3,982$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 3,967$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed No | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…b09bbacked No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 48c | 2,937$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.12 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 2,227$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.39 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 52c | 2,197$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 2,156$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.63 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d1…1e5abacked No | 50c | 2,018$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…072cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…db10backed Yes | 52c | 1,914$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 51c | 1,812$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 39c | 1,689$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,632$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.09 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 50c | 1,540$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 1c | 1,501$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 2c | 1,399$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 52c | 1,323$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 48c | 1,313$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 1,311$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.02 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f0d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…5608backed Yes | 51c | 1,217$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,214$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 1,040$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.96 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 52c | 1,035$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 50c | 972.93$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 53c | 948.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 50c | 948.06$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 50c | 932.58$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 50c | 923.76$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 17c | 901.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 40c | 881.13$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Yes | 51c | 878.08$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 49c | 832.9$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 51c | 817.27$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…5a02backed Yes | 51c | 801.96$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 48c | 737.72$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.86 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 48c | 730$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd40…3489backed Yes | 29c | 724.14$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 52c | 711.54$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 41c | 688.84$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 8c | 666.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 52c | 640.38$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 633.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 49c | 599.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Yes | 51c | 599.94$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 562.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 51c | 490.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 490.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…b171backed Yes | 51c | 489.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…4f2abacked Yes | 29c | 485$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 49c | 443.91$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…d58fbacked Yes | 50c | 399.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 50c | 396.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…f3f6backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 48c | 379.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 50c | 371.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.