TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c12,671$9,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.5871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes24c7,000$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes27c6,093$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No75c5,340$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3353767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c4,584$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.2738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c4,406$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.4424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c3,059$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No75c2,800$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c2,581$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.011,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c1,624$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4063138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c1,426$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes16c1,249$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.523534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4053…91b9backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes25c803$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1d…f7e4backed No76c610$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+105.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…d6d1backed No76c590$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes13c444.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes12c418.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes24c399.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes7c394.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.058333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes26c369.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.041921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes26c328.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Yes25c303.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes22c300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes25c284.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes25c224$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.473070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes26c206$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5621144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2952…f50dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes13c199$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8345233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c188.26$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes23c184$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes26c180$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c176.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.81,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes14c166.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes25c154.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6812957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes25c154.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.521030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No76c131$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.441675%12 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes18c109.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c108$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes11c103.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6a…b518backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes19c89.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.942334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c81.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.995026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes15c72.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c8…c50abacked Yes26c59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…b3a8backed Yes26c57.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-78.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa62c…9a08backed Yes26c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa149…9db9backed Yes26c55.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd4…3756backed Yes26c55.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc893…9241backed Yes26c55.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed No76c53.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4986…ae78backed Yes26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…52f5backed Yes26c52.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf98…88a7backed Yes25c51.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b8…4666backed Yes26c50.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No74c50.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8410855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2036…0f0fbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c49.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8004…0af6backed Yes26c49.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2883…9e14backed Yes25c47.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No74c45.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.715778.9%45 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf772…3abcbacked Yes26c44.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+96.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb252…121fbacked Yes26c42.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528d…701ebacked Yes26c39.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-77.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.565261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c26.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No78c25.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.792360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No74c24.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.243060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x022e…e2c2backed No75c23.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda36…0a9cbacked No75c19.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e8…60b1backed No75c19.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d44…1a1ebacked No76c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+165.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb578…ea1abacked No75c19.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb809…c4e5backed No75c19.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff8…9295backed No75c19.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…2524backed No75c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b1…0c12backed No75c19.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+91.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a30…358abacked No75c19.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.79955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x715d…cfc2backed No75c18.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x073e…cf8bbacked No75c18.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d8a…0a22backed No75c18.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.