TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa32c…5608

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$430
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$108.46
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$108.89
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$105.88
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$83.61
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+194.1%+$487.24
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+127.3%+$516.73
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$73.88
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+212.5%+$85
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$348.83
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$148.5
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$113.08
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$153.23
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$302.88
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$338.33
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$69.6
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$161.51
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$123.44
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+61.3%+$45.35
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$106.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$168.49
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+137.9%+$303.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+185.7%+$310.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$550
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.