TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Red Wings, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$590,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$595,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Hurricanes61c275,147$168,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,315.3611955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings39c179,547$69,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,996.581,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hurricanes62c114,524$71,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,519.2388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Red Wings38c65,842$25,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings36c27,891$10,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,070.192,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed30…f821backed Red Wings7c15,813$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Red Wings38c15,594$5,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,925.6711052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings38c15,014$5,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,705.161,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,85042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings39c14,936$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.3238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings39c14,199$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.7993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings11c13,574$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.451,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Red Wings38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Hurricanes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9008453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings8c9,754$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.3257157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Hurricanes69c8,836$6,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.1832744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Red Wings39c6,712$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Red Wings57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.996958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings20c5,733$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hurricanes62c5,086$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.856649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes43c5,001$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.458134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Red Wings40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Red Wings39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Hurricanes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9931654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes60c4,743$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.291,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings0c4,333$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.337450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Hurricanes61c3,963$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.5724654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings42c3,824$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.722,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings23c3,682$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.651,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Hurricanes73c3,214$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.4936948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Red Wings38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1406555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1701,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Red Wings37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings39c2,935$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.8128251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes60c2,532$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.9447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Red Wings39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97527048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Red Wings39c2,466$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.8138844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hurricanes61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Red Wings1c2,200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Red Wings28c2,116$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.3329926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Red Wings1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Red Wings37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Red Wings37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7402740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Red Wings38c1,974$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings37c1,892$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Red Wings38c1,845$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.113437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Red Wings39c1,821$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Red Wings39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Hurricanes64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Hurricanes75c1,457$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3615057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings37c1,421$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.771,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Red Wings39c1,179$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.518159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Red Wings37c1,127$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9322852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings17c1,111$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.631,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Red Wings38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings36c1,069$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.21,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings31c1,050$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.43,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Red Wings39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Hurricanes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Red Wings39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc760…a21abacked Hurricanes61c931$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Red Wings38c917.87$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.798425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes61c884.1$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.931,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d9…d51ebacked Red Wings38c840$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c2…5f79backed Red Wings38c820$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Red Wings37c818$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6625045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings37c810.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Red Wings40c799.5$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.828853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings37c750$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Red Wings40c740$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29631848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes61c676$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff0…0178backed Hurricanes63c610$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Red Wings37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22222248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0b…51c0backed Hurricanes63c550$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961d…953dbacked Hurricanes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Red Wings56c429.97$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.781662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…620ebacked Hurricanes61c401.55$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Hurricanes61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15619353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes62c399.97$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82f7…7496backed Hurricanes63c383.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Red Wings37c369.86$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Wings7c350$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Red Wings39c320.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings38c317$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.021,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Wings38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11475946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed Red Wings40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Hurricanes62c299.91$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9713554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Red Wings27c294$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.381,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Hurricanes63c285.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7130657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff68…b34ebacked Red Wings9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254316.3%7 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2959…3868backed Red Wings39c263.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Red Wings38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6221…b6fbbacked Red Wings39c261.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf838…c2f3backed Red Wings39c261.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.88560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Red Wings39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.462447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.