NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c9160ba158543062403069b679b62a8a2927d552c35e4bb90ef920108b96a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 47c | 6,422$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.56 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 6,120$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.17 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Over | 56c | 900.32$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.57 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 552$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 360.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…d3a0backed Over | 50c | 249$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 246.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 44c | 245.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 54c | 141$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 58c | 55.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 52.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…10debacked Over | 44c | 32.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 56c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 26.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 22.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Red Wings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.