NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1348043fb69e0b8325db53d3254868c83d053a6c9c7e117344558019183450ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Panthers | 46c | 138,134$63,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,592.42 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 30c | 90,000$27,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,149.91 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lightning | 54c | 81,911$44,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,232.1 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 78c | 36,290$28,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,825.49 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 53c | 21,695$11,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,548.24 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers | 43c | 19,298$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.82 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Panthers | 47c | 16,217$7,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,569.32 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 44c | 10,905$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,106.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Lightning | 4c | 9,725$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.95 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Lightning | 3c | 9,525$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Panthers | 47c | 8,140$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.82 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lightning | 56c | 6,658$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Lightning | 54c | 6,600$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.98 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 44c | 6,557$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.23 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Lightning | 52c | 5,821$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 54c | 5,634$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.84 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lightning | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Lightning | 54c | 4,496$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.84 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.97 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Lightning | 54c | 3,702$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.08 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Panthers | 43c | 3,560$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.2 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 32c | 3,108$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.16 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Lightning | 42c | 3,045$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.81 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Lightning | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lightning | 53c | 2,895$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.35 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 55c | 2,542$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.45 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Lightning | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 52c | 2,473$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.92 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Panthers | 43c | 2,143$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.51 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Lightning | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 18c | 1,994$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.48 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers | 47c | 1,958$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.1 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 53c | 1,876$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.29 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…977ebacked Panthers | 47c | 1,820$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…4c20backed Lightning | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…99febacked Lightning | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Lightning | 30c | 1,681$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 1c | 1,522$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Panthers | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.83 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers | 48c | 1,504$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.38 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Lightning | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Lightning | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 42c | 1,384$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.89 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Panthers | 45c | 1,342$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Lightning | 25c | 1,340$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.82 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…abcebacked Lightning | 57c | 1,275$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 51c | 1,231$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…fa26backed Panthers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Lightning | 52c | 1,145$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.4 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lightning | 11c | 1,126$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Lightning | 52c | 1,112$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.42 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Lightning | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…df98backed Lightning | 57c | 1,109$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…0758backed Panthers | 44c | 1,109$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers | 71c | 1,048$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 23c | 1,040$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.48 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Panthers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Lightning | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Panthers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Panthers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Lightning | 27c | 968.62$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 54c | 865$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.1 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…f995backed Lightning | 57c | 864$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…af12backed Panthers | 44c | 863.64$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lightning | 55c | 853.46$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…8015backed Lightning | 57c | 852$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…fc50backed Lightning | 54c | 851.85$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…a2d7backed Panthers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers | 66c | 838$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.2 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 17c | 835.6$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lightning | 19c | 802.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 56c | 797$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.27 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…2c2fbacked Panthers | 46c | 770$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…79b7backed Lightning | 53c | 752.83$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…0178backed Lightning | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3891backed Panthers | 46c | 710$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Panthers | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…3203backed Lightning | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…e1b9backed Lightning | 55c | 690$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Panthers | 45c | 683.51$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.73 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…3f00backed Panthers | 46c | 660$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…f3c0backed Panthers | 44c | 656.25$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8a…9f56backed Lightning | 57c | 656.14$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…03c1backed Panthers | 43c | 655$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x316a…0614backed Panthers | 43c | 645$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…a4d3backed Panthers | 43c | 620$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Lightning | 54c | 612.37$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.75 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…92e8backed Lightning | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…52e3backed Panthers | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…3b65backed Lightning | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Lightning | 25c | 597$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Lightning | 7c | 590.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 57c | 588.19$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Lightning | 54c | 585.68$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Lightning | 3c | 583.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Lightning | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Lightningthis page
- Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.