TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Senators, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,011,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,027,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,011,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes61c341,093$208,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,550.1667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Senators39c300,000$117,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,00010840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Senators39c131,000$51,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,09048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hurricanes61c111,641$68,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,540.1738748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe00…9712backed Senators40c81,200$32,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,176.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x308c…4e7ebacked Hurricanes60c70,970$42,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,186.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Senators38c56,504$21,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,234.951,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Hurricanes62c50,000$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Senators36c36,159$13,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,017.134242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes61c23,044$14,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,007.121,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Senators39c20,129$7,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,766.551,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes61c18,349$11,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,129.6847951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Senators39c16,557$6,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,457.4212047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hurricanes61c12,500$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.9932946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc504…789fbacked Hurricanes61c10,200$6,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Hurricanes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.964057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Senators37c9,517$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.9550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Hurricanes61c8,188$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.321957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Senators36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hurricanes61c6,500$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.9921755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators35c6,500$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes61c6,121$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.1661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Senators39c5,909$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.411040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Hurricanes61c5,902$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.771250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators37c5,889$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.1360337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ce…d5f9backed Hurricanes61c5,821$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9508134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Senators35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hurricanes64c4,970$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Hurricanes64c4,600$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6747647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators34c4,410$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.791,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Hurricanes62c4,065$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.7218258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hurricanes62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Senators41c3,724$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.315057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Senators38c3,700$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.9844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes63c3,420$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.181,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes60c3,396$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.1399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators47c3,374$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.123,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hurricanes62c3,373$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29045955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Hurricanes62c3,252$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.778664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Senators40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Senators39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Senators39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1704841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Hurricanes61c2,782$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.824050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes62c2,691$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.532,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes54c2,627$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.561,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Senators38c2,493$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.3384953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Senators39c2,253$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.8861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators33c2,126$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.6175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Hurricanes61c2,050$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.540049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes65c2,043$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.0586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Hurricanes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Senators40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.6189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Senators38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes61c1,948$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.7279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Senators49c1,843$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.3795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes69c1,803$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.6989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Senators39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.9924845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Hurricanes55c1,768$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Senators38c1,600$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Hurricanes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.314654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Hurricanes63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5555154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Senators38c1,350$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5131250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Senators37c1,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Senators38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Senators20c1,300$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.799440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked Senators39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hurricanes63c1,263$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9545751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes62c1,247$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.281,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Hurricanes47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6364240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators39c1,177$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.031,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Hurricanes74c1,169$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1752172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Senators53c1,106$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.032147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Hurricanes61c1,080$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.329752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd70…3ebbbacked Senators39c1,069$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4171936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Senators40c1,060$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.3842847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Senators37c1,023$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6333447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Hurricanes61c1,009$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.589254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Hurricanes49c1,005$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Senators1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Hurricanes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Hurricanes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes60c991.67$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.671,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Hurricanes63c989.52$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.122846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Senators10c984.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Hurricanes65c984.62$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6210646.2%49 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators39c958.4$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.91,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hurricanes77c890$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators40c856.56$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Hurricanes65c841$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.3516346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c00…ed33backed Hurricanes62c820$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Senators10c819.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.881,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecf7…71c8backed Senators39c810$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Hurricanes63c809.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.713053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Hurricanes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4531848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb10…324dbacked Senators39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aeb…0c44backed Hurricanes62c790$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+62.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33ac…a418backed Senators39c770$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f3a…ec7dbacked Hurricanes62c750$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.