NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031b7b0c711a9dd55c9d45e8677777594bd53290be51c7a825c2c4a094750a37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Hurricanes, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Hurricanes | 41c | 153,397$63,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,259.37 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Senators | 59c | 48,489$28,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,880.29 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 58c | 18,853$10,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,918.44 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Senators | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.67 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Senators | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 58c | 9,686$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Senators | 58c | 9,481$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.02 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Senators | 60c | 6,615$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.26 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Senators | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Senators | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 58c | 2,910$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Senators | 59c | 2,850$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Senators | 59c | 2,450$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Senators | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 59c | 1,978$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.84 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Senators | 59c | 1,164$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.07 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators | 59c | 1,040$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.39 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Hurricanes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…0969backed Hurricanes | 43c | 950$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Senators | 60c | 847.5$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hurricanes | 41c | 799.9$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.22 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Hurricanes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Senators | 60c | 554.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Senators | 60c | 552.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Senators | 60c | 533.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Senators | 59c | 525.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Hurricanes | 42c | 476.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Senators | 59c | 423$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Senators | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hurricanes | 40c | 396.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…7b29backed Senators | 57c | 390$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…74cabacked Senators | 60c | 314.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Senators | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Senators | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…8d8cbacked Senators | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Senators | 58c | 297$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…8639backed Senators | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Senators | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Senators | 60c | 241.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Senators | 59c | 224.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Hurricanes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed Hurricanes | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Senators | 59c | 176.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes | 39c | 163$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Senators | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Senators | 59c | 145$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Senators | 59c | 134.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Senators | 58c | 131.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Senators | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Senators | 54c | 99.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Hurricanes | 41c | 93.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Hurricanes | 42c | 86.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Hurricanes | 40c | 73.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Senators | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Senators | 58c | 71.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Senators | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…c90fbacked Senators | 59c | 65.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hurricanes | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Senators | 63c | 51.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Senators | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Senators | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Senators | 61c | 49.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Senators | 60c | 48.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 48c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Senators | 56c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Senators | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Senators | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Hurricanes | 42c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Senators | 59c | 38.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Hurricanes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Senators | 58c | 36.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Senators | 56c | 33.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…31d3backed Senators | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hurricanes | 40c | 30.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Senators | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Senators | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Senators | 58c | 28.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Senators | 59c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…bd6fbacked Senators | 59c | 25.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Senators | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Senators | 59c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Senators | 59c | 24.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Senators | 60c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Senators | 60c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Senators | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5081backed Hurricanes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Senators vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.