NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee419ad7b2d5fce5391dc8400a0da3601e6ec73f8e9b3e339d8bc1af7543ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 8,937$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.44 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 7,000$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 5,503$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.41 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 50c | 3,671$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,523$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 3,178$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,582$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.59 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 2,330$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.7 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.17 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 839.33$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 611$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.61 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 254.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 228$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 166.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 165.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 48c | 149$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…0e92backed Under | 26c | 134.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 48c | 131$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 49c | 124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 51c | 113.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 48c | 99.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 53.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 48.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 37.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Over | 50c | 32.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 31.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 29.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 51c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 51c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Over | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…b877backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…973fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.