TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes67c22,201$14,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,424.7352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No33c20,619$6,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,804.423557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes67c14,860$9,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.2315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes73c10,200$7,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.7771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.972540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No34c6,990$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.591844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c5,900$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.791,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No34c5,429$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.653240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes67c4,829$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.3124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3203655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c3,879$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.081,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes66c3,265$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.963910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No2c2,857$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf71…92aebacked No35c2,286$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No34c2,278$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.521838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes68c2,221$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes67c2,062$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked No34c1,912$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes66c1,228$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No34c1,150$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No33c1,024$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No34c999$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes65c932.35$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.25745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes66c816.51$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No5c797.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2735037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No3c768.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcff…b4dcbacked No34c764.71$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.589458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.584266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.275757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Yes68c735.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.852166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No35c714.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No8c702.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No33c599.93$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.981675%12 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+78.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa32c…5608backed Yes66c586.89$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…88d0backed Yes66c547.73$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No4c513.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes67c502.15$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes67c479.68$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.292944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfd3…bdbcbacked Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No14c449.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes68c426.44$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No34c422.67$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.743860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No33c414.95$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.932920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…be90backed Yes66c393.94$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No34c354.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.461030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc19f…d8b2backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.127648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No35c279.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.78650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes68c241.11$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed No10c234.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No21c232$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No32c224.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No10c209.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9718155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No33c209.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1b…94b2backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No33c196.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.842642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes67c194.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes73c182$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.364257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes67c177.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No35c156.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.89944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No35c153.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.842962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No32c152.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.312360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce3…40f3backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No33c145$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed No34c129.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked No35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes66c114.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes66c113$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.421060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed No34c108.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8760%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cbc…3b01backed No34c101.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked No34c98.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6510942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed No33c98.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No31c91.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4913016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c49…1699backed Yes66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.15644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c54…99bebacked Yes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9210960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes66c85.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No34c85.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.183033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes67c82.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.