TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaf71…92ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$510.5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$747
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$197.88
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$221.92
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$126.56
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$113.42
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$141.28
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$76.67
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$466.24
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$342.22
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$144
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$125.72
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$254.08
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$77.73
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$85.56
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+354.5%+$106.36
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$39.98
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$84.17
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$160.76
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$301
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$358.04
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$305.56
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+108.3%+$368.33
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$194.77
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$145.93
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$156.65
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.4%+$114.8
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Sabres vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$120.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$101.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.