TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blues50c160,957$80,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,189.1167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Sabres50c38,236$19,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,117.8388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres50c22,636$11,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,303.031,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Sabres50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Sabres51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3501,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Sabres50c11,227$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,613.533243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Sabres51c11,087$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.4811052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Sabres50c10,431$5,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,215.522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sabres52c8,451$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,074.391,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blues44c7,524$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.9538738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues62c6,643$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,123.61,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres57c5,897$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.041,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Blues50c5,089$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blues48c5,033$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.8489547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Sabres52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.8727243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Blues48c4,256$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.8828353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres50c4,022$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.011,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Sabres52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sabres50c3,536$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Sabres50c3,418$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Sabres36c3,372$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.258650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Sabres50c3,214$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6075855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Sabres50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres45c2,485$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.751,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres45c2,478$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.7895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Sabres50c2,240$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blues1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Blues48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5510850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues31c2,181$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Sabres62c2,151$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.498952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x852e…2f33backed Sabres51c2,113$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.331250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Sabres50c2,030$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01528251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Sabres50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0009846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da7…b179backed Sabres51c1,969$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9be…a7edbacked Blues50c1,969$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sabres50c1,923$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8634…afb4backed Blues50c1,834$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Blues25c1,802$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45936948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blues48c1,771$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9847951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Sabres50c1,491$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.2862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blues49c1,300$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.241,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres52c1,239$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.7125555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues48c1,129$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.091,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sabres51c1,074$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.3675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Sabres52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Sabres52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.547157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blues29c924.63$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.432,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sabres39c905.49$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Sabres54c899.68$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8418840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc760…a21abacked Blues51c864$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d49…a8c6backed Blues50c813.32$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.661050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf71…92aebacked Blues50c780$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Blues72c730$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.67162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres56c720.16$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Sabres36c689.97$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.582556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Blues49c678$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.225042%21 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blues48c675.42$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Blues62c660.44$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.8532744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Blues8c657.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Sabres50c657.36$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.6826955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Sabres50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Sabres52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sabres42c525$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.222,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Sabres51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24530657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Sabres52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24020951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Blues50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blues48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Sabres52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Blues49c499.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9935245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Sabres37c495$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7631851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Blues15c486.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7341340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Sabres51c472$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2817744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sabres50c464.77$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.382,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2de…9fb3backed Blues52c451.69$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2336241.9%26 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Sabres45c445.16$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.168647.7%41 W · 45 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4350…fa6cbacked Sabres51c421.57$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blues48c408.19$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.991,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres72c393.1$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0652172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ad…011fbacked Sabres51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa30f…b8aebacked Sabres51c391.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5440…2f1ebacked Sabres51c386.27$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.271546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Sabres51c384.15$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5113448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Sabres48c363$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0274951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Blues49c357.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Sabres50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17541354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Sabres47c339.97$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5916753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41d2…fc34backed Sabres34c320.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sabres50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Blues49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14713554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed Sabres50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Sabres51c299.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.997445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Sabres47c292.31$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3113648.5%66 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5a…0572backed Blues50c276.46$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.