NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7dceba05933716e21e0f299ebd4ee317db6252b961f119d5d1acb611670306c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Nuggets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,443,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,420,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,443,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Nuggets | 53c | 800,000$424,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424,000 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Heat | 46c | 709,683$326,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383,228.72 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Heat | 48c | 567,339$270,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297,326.6 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Nuggets | 54c | 344,327$184,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,993.56 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Nuggets | 54c | 331,496$179,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,008 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Heat | 47c | 280,851$132,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,851.06 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 44c | 270,203$119,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,770.33 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Nuggets | 56c | 216,826$120,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,572.47 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 48c | 100,290$48,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,214.49 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 44c | 62,995$27,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,277.37 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Nuggets | 56c | 58,868$32,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,748 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 56c | 57,405$32,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,083.54 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 56c | 55,741$31,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,247.65 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 54c | 54,928$29,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,027.25 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 45c | 54,918$24,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,003.9 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Heat | 45c | 50,000$22,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,311.15 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 45c | 46,776$21,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,060.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Nuggets | 47c | 44,954$21,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,097.49 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Heat | 44c | 43,172$18,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,176.46 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 65c | 43,040$27,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,055.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 55c | 40,458$22,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,114.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 44c | 34,091$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,090.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 49c | 33,714$16,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,437.16 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Nuggets | 34c | 31,267$10,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,540.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…a09cbacked Nuggets | 1c | 31,011$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.81 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 41c | 29,614$12,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,011.37 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 42c | 28,329$11,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,891.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 22c | 25,079$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.68 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed Nuggets | 55c | 23,060$12,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,682.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…5c21backed Nuggets | 55c | 18,800$10,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,422.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…75b0backed Heat | 45c | 18,800$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 17,377$9,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,210 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 77c | 16,740$12,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Heat | 62c | 15,594$9,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.25 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Nuggets | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…b8d5backed Nuggets | 55c | 14,593$8,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,026 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 60c | 12,774$7,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.49 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…517cbacked Nuggets | 27c | 12,680$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.85 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 70c | 12,255$8,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.1 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 53c | 11,551$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.28 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets | 2c | 11,187$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 54c | 11,112$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.4 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…ad23backed Nuggets | 16c | 10,896$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 10,610$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.6 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 31c | 9,397$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8323…ba89backed Nuggets | 56c | 9,348$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 30c | 9,200$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nuggets | 21c | 9,093$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.14 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Heat | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.89 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Nuggets | 37c | 8,684$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.62 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 44c | 8,550$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Heat | 44c | 7,905$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.8 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat | 46c | 7,880$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.21 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Nuggets | 46c | 7,299$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.95 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 55c | 7,000$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Nuggets | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 46c | 7,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Heat | 52c | 6,635$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.43 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 46c | 6,558$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Heat | 56c | 6,389$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.24 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 52c | 6,111$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.84 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Nuggets | 56c | 6,079$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 34c | 6,029$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,025$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Nuggets | 53c | 6,000$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.52 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Nuggets | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,998$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Heat | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.94 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 13c | 4,975$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.18 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 36c | 4,934$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heat | 50c | 4,791$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.96 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Nuggets | 10c | 4,669$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…f45dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 4,618$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 48c | 4,605$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.45 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Nuggets | 1c | 4,573$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heat | 52c | 4,557$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.62 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Nuggets | 44c | 4,533$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 4,360$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Heat | 47c | 4,358$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…6a89backed Nuggets | 22c | 4,220$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 46c | 4,216$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.46 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,056$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,009$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.7 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Heat | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Heat | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 4,000$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.32 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…4b34backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,964$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…db61backed Nuggets | 32c | 3,808$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Heat | 46c | 3,416$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Nuggets | 15c | 3,398$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.6 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 43c | 3,205$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.08 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…b7a6backed Heat | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nuggets | 1c | 3,093$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Heat | 45c | 3,086$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.52 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Heat | 45c | 3,033$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.57 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Heat | 66c | 3,023$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.22 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf1…af48backed Nuggets | 58c | 2,917$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xface…2115backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,850$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Heatthis page
- Nuggets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.