NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc58b3c7c56462b0a00c5444beb4f1d2e143867a4a691dce991eb367d3f46f5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 85,350$42,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,812.46 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 53,642$27,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,395.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38a…aff3backed Under | 49c | 17,300$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,477 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…10ddbacked Over | 49c | 10,200$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…9ea2backed Under | 51c | 9,800$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…3c06backed Over | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,106$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…d0a7backed Over | 51c | 7,800$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 7,002$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 6,666$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.66 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 3,739$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.29 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 49c | 3,398$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.2 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 51c | 2,329$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 2,305$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…02e2backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,580$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.67 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,349$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…11bebacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 984$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 48c | 617.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.11 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…f45dbacked Over | 49c | 406.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…2871backed Over | 53c | 349.21$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 32c | 316$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2e…116cbacked Over | 53c | 313.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…8a08backed Over | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…7d49backed Over | 53c | 194.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…482ebacked Over | 53c | 191.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…2509backed Over | 53c | 190.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…cc30backed Over | 53c | 190.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…f195backed Over | 53c | 190.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…5e1bbacked Over | 53c | 190.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…023dbacked Over | 53c | 189.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 156.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…3f06backed Under | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 46c | 112.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 42c | 106.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…f761backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…54b5backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 52c | 87.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 51c | 75.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f7ffbacked Under | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 48c | 73.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1a…f71cbacked Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…c127backed Under | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 57.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 77c | 33.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 50c | 24.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Under | 48c | 22.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 19.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 244.5this page
- Nuggets vs. HeatHeat won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.