NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a3361d165bd3b5ca0c10bbc8418261e36ec1cbed87fbb24b5ded29807123c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $799,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $809,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $799,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 730 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Flames | 45c | 300,000$135,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,999.99 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Capitals | 55c | 297,557$163,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,900.86 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flames | 44c | 55,283$24,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,549.41 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.85 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 56c | 37,169$20,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,535.89 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 55c | 28,270$15,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,763.91 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Flames | 48c | 23,751$11,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.41 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flames | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.94 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 55c | 11,985$6,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.09 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Flames | 44c | 11,818$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.91 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 45c | 10,720$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.61 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flames | 45c | 10,191$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.86 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Capitals | 57c | 8,024$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.32 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Capitals | 55c | 7,223$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.35 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Capitals | 56c | 6,722$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.67 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Flames | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 64c | 4,572$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.41 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Flames | 43c | 4,392$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.43 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 44c | 4,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 55c | 3,505$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Flames | 45c | 3,400$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 45c | 3,244$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 56c | 3,228$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Capitals | 56c | 3,139$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,067$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.76 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Capitals | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Flames | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 44c | 2,910$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Capitals | 51c | 2,784$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.65 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 53c | 2,642$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,593$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.85 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Flames | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 66c | 2,493$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 70c | 2,476$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.26 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Flames | 46c | 2,373$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.62 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Flames | 44c | 2,321$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.24 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 53c | 2,288$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.21 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Flames | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Flames | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Capitals | 58c | 2,088$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.69 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Capitals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Capitals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flames | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Capitals | 78c | 1,968$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.16 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 57c | 1,734$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.62 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 55c | 1,700$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.86 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Flames | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 72c | 1,586$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.01 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 56c | 1,541$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.2 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Flames | 45c | 1,488$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.81 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…f9cebacked Flames | 43c | 1,479$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…40ccbacked Flames | 43c | 1,453$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…e05abacked Capitals | 57c | 1,453$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…dab9backed Flames | 43c | 1,436$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…41ebbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,419$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…16dabacked Flames | 43c | 1,419$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…dc8fbacked Flames | 43c | 1,405$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…9a46backed Flames | 43c | 1,405$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f45…32fcbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,405$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7a…8471backed Capitals | 57c | 1,405$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f594backed Flames | 43c | 1,402$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…f9a3backed Capitals | 57c | 1,402$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 55c | 1,378$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.35 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…e4e1backed Capitals | 57c | 1,377$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c5fcbacked Flames | 43c | 1,377$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…35f5backed Capitals | 57c | 1,377$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…de59backed Flames | 43c | 1,377$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…8a6dbacked Flames | 43c | 1,377$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…56bfbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,377$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…ff63backed Flames | 43c | 1,376$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f529backed Capitals | 57c | 1,376$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…fc08backed Capitals | 57c | 1,375$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…4123backed Flames | 43c | 1,375$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…b6ccbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,374$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d7…b1cdbacked Flames | 43c | 1,374$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…5d5cbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,374$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…fb54backed Flames | 43c | 1,374$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcd…cacdbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,374$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f3…4895backed Flames | 43c | 1,374$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…3a96backed Flames | 43c | 1,372$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…fb33backed Capitals | 57c | 1,372$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…6659backed Flames | 43c | 1,371$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…a5fcbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,371$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…bb07backed Capitals | 57c | 1,370$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…7ccabacked Flames | 43c | 1,370$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4239…969cbacked Flames | 43c | 1,366$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…b5bebacked Capitals | 57c | 1,366$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…8b4bbacked Flames | 43c | 1,366$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…c122backed Capitals | 57c | 1,366$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…0e1fbacked Flames | 43c | 1,365$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Flamesthis page
- Capitals vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.