TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Blues, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,020,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,023,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Blues35c405,864$142,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,020.9719848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Blues35c300,000$105,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,999.8510840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Stars65c285,714$185,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,999.94050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Stars66c119,825$78,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,238.8338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Stars65c69,000$44,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,15026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars65c40,296$26,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,103.679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Stars65c30,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5004242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Stars65c29,016$18,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,155.4651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Stars65c26,925$17,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,381.5561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blues35c26,701$9,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,424.3836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blues34c23,747$8,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,073.2667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Stars65c20,020$13,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00748549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars65c18,733$12,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,556.611,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Stars65c16,081$10,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.8521755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Stars65c15,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Stars65c14,350$9,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.4912047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Stars65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5003743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues6c9,625$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Stars65c9,066$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.181,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Stars66c9,030$5,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.232251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Stars65c8,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Stars66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.768848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Stars58c7,524$4,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.273548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Stars58c6,527$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.088664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues36c6,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3401,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stars65c6,327$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.682,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Stars64c6,272$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.9813363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Stars64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Stars65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blues34c5,421$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.291,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Stars64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8007347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars66c4,580$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.2518258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars67c4,346$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.971,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues36c4,178$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.473,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars66c4,054$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.131,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blues34c3,780$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Blues35c3,600$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blues5c3,546$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Stars66c3,485$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.856949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stars65c3,466$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.8545751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars64c3,362$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.2447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars64c3,333$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.8825447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues32c3,321$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.261,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Blues1c3,296$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Blues36c3,222$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1606341.3%26 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Stars65c3,100$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08521048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Stars65c2,910$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.56653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6757…7ecebacked Stars66c2,906$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Stars65c2,800$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9804252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Blues36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Stars65c2,697$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.661,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars66c2,600$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88431849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues29c2,572$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.751,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blues4c2,518$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues36c2,500$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Stars67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8131550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars66c2,196$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.6763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blues26c2,099$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.92,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Stars65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Stars66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6807647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Stars65c1,975$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.2586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Stars65c1,815$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.9845955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues35c1,800$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues38c1,784$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.6395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Blues8c1,743$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars69c1,700$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.41,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Stars64c1,673$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.187162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Stars65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.467745.5%35 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Stars65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4614654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blues8c1,463$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.751,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Blues35c1,430$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues35c1,430$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Blues35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Blues35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blues1c1,410$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Blues36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked Blues36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Stars65c1,384$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.112867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Blues35c1,300$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4555736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blues1c1,280$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blues39c1,165$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.031,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Blues36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9633447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues32c1,046$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.621,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Blues7c1,033$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.342174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Stars65c1,030$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Stars65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35045749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars50c1,000$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Stars65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Stars67c983.34$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2319851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Blues16c966.92$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2715057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e66…ce7cbacked Stars65c953.37$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues31c941.58$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.262,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Blues3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Stars65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31519353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Stars65c888.4$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.948257.3%47 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Blues8c862.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.826750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2db1…8275backed Stars64c842.16$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Stars66c762.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.241384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.