NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d5bfdd4b2ffc799ccac1eea170af5559f61513f94c779766bfadc0439a3de9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,853$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 55c | 3,228$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.52 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 54c | 2,702$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.82 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 2,189$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.1 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 783.93$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.93 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 731.91$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.36 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 634$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 403$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 360.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 254.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Under | 35c | 215.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 45c | 205.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 46c | 165.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 45c | 162.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 55c | 146.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 45c | 116.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 71c | 69.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 67c | 66.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…67f5backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce3…40f3backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Under | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 46c | 30.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 54c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 24.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 65c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 54c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. StarsStars won
- Blues vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.