NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2ff13b62dc775bf5d9522f4f2c5d2ccc78487f7c6d1b561baf5ab533ded93d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,672,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,812,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,672,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed Raptors | 40c | 62,500$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Warriors | 60c | 62,390$37,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,433.85 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 11c | 46,695$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Raptors | 59c | 40,994$24,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,851.04 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 41c | 36,470$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,469.78 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 6c | 34,861$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.56 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 59c | 33,617$19,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,696.93 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 59c | 30,000$17,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,549.93 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Raptors | 51c | 28,228$14,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,851.42 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 30c | 27,446$8,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,266.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 39c | 27,187$10,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,584.18 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 43c | 26,666$11,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,359.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 21c | 26,561$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 40c | 25,640$10,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,384.25 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Raptors | 74c | 22,119$16,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.16 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 4c | 21,517$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.94 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 39c | 21,279$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,917.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Warriors | 60c | 21,238$12,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,773.19 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 20,987$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 75c | 18,345$13,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 58c | 17,910$10,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,308.9 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Raptors | 42c | 16,905$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,754.76 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Raptors | 54c | 16,520$8,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,639.19 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 41c | 15,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 58c | 14,997$8,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,748.4 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Raptors | 45c | 14,925$6,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,189.32 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 42c | 14,000$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,140 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Warriors | 61c | 13,787$8,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,430.71 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 13,756$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Warriors | 41c | 13,647$5,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,601.97 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 4c | 13,479$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.61 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 60c | 12,877$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.35 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 59c | 12,786$7,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Warriors | 18c | 11,424$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…9249backed Raptors | 42c | 11,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Warriors | 22c | 10,336$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 46c | 10,200$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.7 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 4c | 10,163$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.42 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…a40abacked Raptors | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Warriors | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Warriors | 58c | 9,374$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.91 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Raptors | 40c | 8,779$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.12 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Raptors | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Raptors | 41c | 8,220$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.8 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Warriors | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Warriors | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.85 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 2c | 7,899$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4b41backed Warriors | 8c | 7,522$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.03 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 4c | 7,446$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Raptors | 41c | 6,767$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Warriors | 59c | 6,755$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Raptors | 69c | 6,369$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.72 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 60c | 6,167$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.47 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 28c | 6,165$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.56 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Warriors | 63c | 6,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.13 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Raptors | 41c | 5,910$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.76 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 64c | 5,500$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.82 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Warriors | 31c | 5,500$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.62 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Warriors | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Raptors | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Raptors | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Warriors | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Raptors | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.95 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors | 37c | 4,950$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.48 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…2a9bbacked Warriors | 3c | 4,901$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 60c | 4,891$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.95 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Warriors | 58c | 4,660$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.73 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…f534backed Raptors | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Raptors | 39c | 4,359$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.97 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Raptors | 40c | 4,304$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.59 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…e7d6backed Warriors | 58c | 4,260$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Raptors | 41c | 4,128$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.72 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 66c | 4,119$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.08 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Warriors | 2c | 4,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Raptors | 65c | 4,068$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.94 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…9500backed Warriors | 3c | 4,035$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…6605backed Raptors | 52c | 3,869$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.31 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Warriors | 59c | 3,838$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.4 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 39c | 3,816$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Raptors | 73c | 3,761$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.18 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Warriors | 58c | 3,716$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.35 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 33c | 3,668$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Raptors | 34c | 3,668$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.13 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 59c | 3,654$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 4c | 3,600$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors | 56c | 3,591$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.7 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors | 40c | 3,461$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.32 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Raptors | 62c | 3,350$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.84 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Raptors | 40c | 3,247$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.26 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 2c | 3,239$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 62c | 3,234$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.26 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 59c | 3,120$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Raptors | 43c | 3,090$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.48 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Warriors | 60c | 3,005$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.15 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Raptors | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Warriors | 5c | 2,933$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Warriorsthis page
- Raptors vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.