NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c93e0457a0e219d9401c16e761c2301e99d57d7e1ee9e0f8523257e0897fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Warriors, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 52c | 544,444$280,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280,605.83 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 48c | 318,771$153,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,761.09 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 49c | 286,674$140,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,204.13 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.97 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raptors | 48c | 13,746$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,147.95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 51c | 13,715$6,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,994.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Warriors | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.72 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 53c | 8,804$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.12 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 52c | 6,862$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 51c | 4,754$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.68 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 48c | 4,747$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.88 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 50c | 4,356$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.26 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Raptors | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 3,040$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Warriors | 52c | 2,288$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.78 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 52c | 2,281$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.25 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.32 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors | 47c | 2,033$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.72 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 50c | 1,749$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Raptors | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 51c | 1,546$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.46 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Raptors | 48c | 1,418$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.3 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.6 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Raptors | 47c | 999.82$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.91 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Warriors | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 50c | 971.66$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Raptors | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Warriors | 54c | 770$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Raptors | 49c | 715$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 47c | 699.08$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 51c | 600.32$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Raptors | 49c | 457.89$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Raptors | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Raptors | 48c | 406.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Raptors | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Warriors | 8c | 395.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 48c | 387.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Raptors | 50c | 318.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Raptors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 6c | 292$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Warriors | 53c | 281.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Warriors | 53c | 273.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Warriors | 52c | 236$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Warriors | 49c | 224.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Raptors | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Raptors | 49c | 188.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…9138backed Warriors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Warriors | 53c | 160.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Raptors | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Raptors | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Warriors | 53c | 152.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Warriors | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed Warriors | 53c | 139$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 49c | 135.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Warriors | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Raptors | 47c | 122.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…2a20backed Warriors | 51c | 116.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Warriors | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 20c | 100.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Warriors | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Raptors | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Raptors | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 53c | 75.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Raptors | 48c | 72.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Raptors | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Raptors | 49c | 67.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Raptors | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Raptors | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Raptors | 49c | 63.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Warriors | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Raptors | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Raptors | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Raptors | 49c | 60.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…53d6backed Warriors | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…86f1backed Warriors | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Raptors | 48c | 58.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Raptors | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Warriors | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Raptors | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Raptors | 49c | 53.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…e613backed Warriors | 52c | 50.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Raptors | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Warriors | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Warriors | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Raptors | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Warriors | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Warriors | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Raptors | 48c | 46.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Warriors | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Warriors | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)this page
- Raptors vs. WarriorsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.