NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6319e82c649a70bf136ac84678fb8bb9239a2f27d63b07339e7d1172e3ee7a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Avalanche, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,399,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,573,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,399,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Avalanche | 52c | 428,418$220,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,829.14 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 49c | 261,345$128,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,185.7 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Lightning | 49c | 204,082$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,081.63 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,999.94 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Lightning | 48c | 168,911$81,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,118.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Avalanche | 50c | 101,302$50,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,650.85 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Lightning | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lightning | 50c | 70,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,200 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Lightning | 49c | 54,296$26,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,640.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Avalanche | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 25,755$13,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,125.56 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Avalanche | 50c | 25,035$12,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,517.74 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 51c | 24,296$12,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,369.8 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Avalanche | 51c | 14,744$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 48c | 13,711$6,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.49 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Avalanche | 40c | 13,584$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.63 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 35c | 13,495$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lightning | 49c | 12,888$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,572.88 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lightning | 50c | 10,320$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Avalanche | 50c | 10,090$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.11 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lightning | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Avalanche | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche | 51c | 9,954$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.51 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 41c | 7,381$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Avalanche | 51c | 7,200$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Avalanche | 53c | 6,862$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 48c | 6,215$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.19 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lightning | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Lightning | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…bb31backed Avalanche | 51c | 4,950$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche | 50c | 4,516$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Lightning | 48c | 4,500$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Avalanche | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 52c | 4,500$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 47c | 4,104$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.21 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…3026backed Lightning | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lightning | 50c | 3,986$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.13 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lightning | 49c | 3,530$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.49 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 48c | 3,303$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.23 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 47c | 3,262$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.61 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lightning | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Lightning | 50c | 2,896$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.61 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Lightning | 50c | 2,750$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,718$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Lightning | 47c | 2,606$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.06 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 46c | 2,496$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.33 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 54c | 2,413$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.38 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Lightning | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,360$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Lightning | 50c | 2,341$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,225$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.27 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Avalanche | 23c | 2,144$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.79 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Avalanche | 46c | 2,131$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.13 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Lightning | 48c | 2,102$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.95 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Lightning | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,034$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Lightning | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lightning | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche | 50c | 1,983$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.06 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,960$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.28 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Lightning | 52c | 1,916$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.34 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lightning | 49c | 1,900$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.11 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…0e7fbacked Lightning | 48c | 1,899$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…50b7backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,899$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,837$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.89 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,820$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.25 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche | 30c | 1,800$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Avalanche | 43c | 1,732$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.64 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lightning | 47c | 1,601$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.44 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Avalanche | 8c | 1,592$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 68c | 1,550$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.13 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Avalanche | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Avalanche | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Avalanche | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Lightning | 50c | 1,488$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 50c | 1,444$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.11 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,395$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.05 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Lightning | 49c | 1,376$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.15 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 46c | 1,361$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.07 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 48c | 1,339$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.63 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche | 1c | 1,323$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Lightning | 69c | 1,119$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,079$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.62 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,066$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.03 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Lightning | 48c | 1,052$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.28 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Avalanche | 1c | 1,052$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Lightning | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Lightning | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Lightning | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Avalanche | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Lightningthis page
- Avalanche vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.