NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6eced4ce464b76353cb77a20e5ab9d95b9b5bdbd7a5303f956e21bcd611b339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Devils, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $978,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,067,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $978,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 177,121$81,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,539.37 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Devils | 54c | 170,022$91,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,809.26 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 54c | 114,145$62,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,139.92 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils | 56c | 84,112$46,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,875.02 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 69,564$31,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,564.43 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 58,330$25,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,614.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 55c | 52,439$28,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,908.85 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Devils | 55c | 50,367$27,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,480.28 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 49,141$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,641.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 44,444$20,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.76 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Devils | 51c | 38,399$19,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,583.39 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 35,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,899.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 25,068$10,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,195 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Devils | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 52c | 16,375$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,530.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 13,000$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 12,802$5,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,032.34 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 12,592$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,925.82 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 12,490$5,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.56 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 11,150$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Devils | 55c | 11,137$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 56c | 10,350$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.03 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 9,003$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.42 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 8,553$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.42 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 55c | 8,453$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.15 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 54c | 8,035$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.89 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 6,120$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.86 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 6,000$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 5,978$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.81 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,600$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.68 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 0c | 5,443$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,333$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.33 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 5,076$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.56 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 44c | 4,813$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.53 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,734$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.75 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Devils | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Devils | 55c | 4,460$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Devils | 55c | 4,460$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 52c | 4,407$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.7 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Devils | 51c | 4,358$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.58 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,784$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.91 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,575$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,476$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.09 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,389$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.08 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,356$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.37 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,355$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.98 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Devils | 55c | 3,347$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,039$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.84 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Devils | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Devils | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Devils | 20c | 2,759$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Devils | 39c | 2,393$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.66 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,363$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.69 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 2,243$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.18 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,211$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,131$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.03 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Devils | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,000$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…94ffbacked Devils | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…ccb0backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,918$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Devils | 14c | 1,912$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.68 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Devils | 55c | 1,755$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Devils | 54c | 1,739$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.21 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,720$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.86 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,698$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Devils | 51c | 1,675$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,578$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.78 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,496$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.63 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 1,487$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…f078backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,465$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,437$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.09 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…a149backed Devils | 47c | 1,374$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…0eaabacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,374$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…d932backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,363$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.61 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…66dabacked Devils | 47c | 1,363$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…a274backed Devils | 47c | 1,307$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbf…a331backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,307$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…9b8ebacked Devils | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…2bd4backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…93adbacked Devils | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…6583backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…cff7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,196$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…0acebacked Devils | 47c | 1,196$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaf…dff4backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,188$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.36 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…7108backed Devils | 47c | 1,188$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…d4eebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,169$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…3441backed Devils | 47c | 1,169$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…d14abacked Devils | 47c | 1,150$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Devils vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.