NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2506d9db5693a85c5b026e92914b0ed4d2a6cf4a0cb5d1ead8801662aa6911b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Bucks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,515,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,539,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,515,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 815 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bucks | 0c | 195,000$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.21 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Bucks | 0c | 193,971$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.71 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…5f29backed Bucks | 36c | 100,482$35,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,868.67 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Grizzlies | 63c | 54,451$34,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,146.75 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 66c | 35,349$23,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,067.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 37c | 31,597$11,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,650.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Grizzlies | 5c | 30,387$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,750.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +381.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 36c | 30,060$10,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,847.37 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 62c | 29,341$18,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,149.53 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 64c | 27,190$17,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,881.15 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bucks | 37c | 23,384$8,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,652.04 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bucks | 36c | 22,951$8,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,262.43 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 18,579$11,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.74 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…00f8backed Grizzlies | 30c | 16,236$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,378.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Bucks | 38c | 15,388$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.26 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Grizzlies | 66c | 15,255$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.61 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 34c | 14,610$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.41 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 36c | 14,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Bucks | 0c | 13,955$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Grizzlies | 31c | 12,500$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,627.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 11,534$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 0c | 10,999$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Grizzlies | 62c | 10,400$6,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 1c | 10,038$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Grizzlies | 65c | 9,108$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.69 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Grizzlies | 64c | 8,320$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.31 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Grizzlies | 63c | 8,310$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.7 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Bucks | 1c | 8,200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 38c | 7,129$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.27 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Bucks | 1c | 6,500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Bucks | 0c | 6,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 34c | 6,194$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 5,979$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.28 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 5,583$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.64 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 5,355$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.93 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 5,250$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Bucks | 23c | 5,017$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Grizzlies | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Bucks | 36c | 4,572$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.85 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Bucks | 35c | 4,566$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.15 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…c44bbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 4,522$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Grizzlies | 65c | 4,501$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.38 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Bucks | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 31c | 4,382$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 4,101$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.37 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Bucks | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 35c | 3,932$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bucks | 14c | 3,822$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.74 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 55c | 3,706$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.65 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Bucks | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 62c | 3,425$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.83 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Bucks | 8c | 3,289$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bucks | 37c | 3,250$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Grizzlies | 64c | 3,219$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.91 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks | 36c | 3,166$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.96 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 3,089$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…e87abacked Grizzlies | 64c | 3,047$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bucks | 36c | 3,045$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…05c1backed Bucks | 36c | 3,045$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Bucks | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Bucks | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Bucks | 11c | 3,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Bucks | 14c | 2,911$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bucks | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 64c | 2,673$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.27 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 65c | 2,609$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Bucks | 36c | 2,554$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.44 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Grizzlies | 65c | 2,554$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.9 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Bucks | 1c | 2,450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 2,313$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 64c | 2,249$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.9 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 35c | 2,051$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.37 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 36c | 2,037$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.42 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Grizzlies | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 1,992$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,990$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.2 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,928$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.21 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,905$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Bucks | 34c | 1,673$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.95 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…b86dbacked Bucks | 30c | 1,556$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…6d26backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 1,475$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.25 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks | 35c | 1,434$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.85 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Bucks | 15c | 1,364$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bucks | 25c | 1,345$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.75 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…1b95backed Bucks | 2c | 1,321$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 36c | 1,317$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,304$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.52 | 282 | 49.6%140 W · 142 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…3944backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,279$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.