NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73eb71782029350ecd1b19c45006c426d379f8e1d9610a594ab7abec00323bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 52c | 9,549$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.64 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…20e9backed Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 48c | 6,125$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.16 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 55c | 4,786$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.02 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 4,368$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 55c | 3,669$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 2,047$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 48c | 1,969$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.78 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.54 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,375$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Over | 47c | 1,367$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.85 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 799$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 703$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 53c | 569.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 54c | 552.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…3f97backed Over | 50c | 279.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 273.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 265.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…1fafbacked Over | 51c | 195.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 182.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 112.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…3d49backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 48c | 99.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Under | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 76.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 48c | 70.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 63.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 47c | 58.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 56.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 46c | 49.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b243backed Under | 52c | 31.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 48c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5this page
- Bucks vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.