TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0352…3292backed Over52c19,699$10,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,363.9510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under10c5,437$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.750347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c5,265$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under48c3,750$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8007245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c3,294$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.111,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3509451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Under44c2,392$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.5519351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under47c1,681$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.4844654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c1,596$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c1,249$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.852,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fd…dba2backed Under44c980$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1927158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under44c821.87$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over58c805.91$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.918853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c742.19$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over56c654$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7649142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c604$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under14c520$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under49c449.51$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.581,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under42c415$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.491,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc23…a56ebacked Over51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964740.4%19 W · 28 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa12b…5418backed Over56c380$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under42c332.88$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b8…babbbacked Over56c320$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f97…2cddbacked Over56c280$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c278.79$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.532,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa8…43afbacked Over58c247.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde73…1df9backed Over57c246.96$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x634e…f16cbacked Over57c245.04$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under47c236.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e7…a315backed Over57c229.37$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.634100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c225.48$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7433150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over53c197.2$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6838148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0452…ccefbacked Over57c192.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8b…4631backed Over58c177.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…e025backed Over58c174.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd16a…aebabacked Over58c174.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under48c163$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.247451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under45c147$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.156953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under48c142$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.165141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under45c141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.457651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under43c136$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.488450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under47c124.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5849358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4841…a4b1backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4533442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under47c91.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0176247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under11c91.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0839018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2137352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Over61c82.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3361056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under43c71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.537162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under48c67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.166349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over56c61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.052152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c60.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Over56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.822556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c52.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.444153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2769049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under42c47.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.64047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4814357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over54c43.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9710234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Over52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.163053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.243250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0460346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Over52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a0…511ebacked Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Over55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Over55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Over52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.882867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.142143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Over57c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.472568%17 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.922857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.328955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.753458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.325552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Over57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.323171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.813831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Over52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.563652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Over55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over53c20.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.