TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Pelicans, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,594,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,575,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,594,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans14c499,998$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,999.721057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans14c65,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,299.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pelicans14c40,061$5,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,652.9719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans15c36,667$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans13c30,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9620551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…9dd4backed Pelicans10c19,661$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pelicans15c19,146$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.8961851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans1c18,745$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.41,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans14c18,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans0c15,995$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.995213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans12c15,478$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.761,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans4c15,438$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…e5d7backed Pelicans14c14,393$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c13,678$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pelicans14c12,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans15c12,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Pelicans14c10,714$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans16c10,650$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7011,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Pelicans14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pelicans13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Pelicans14c8,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c7,938$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.658820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Pelicans2c7,585$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6312947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Pelicans14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Pelicans14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Pelicans14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pelicans14c6,900$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Pelicans15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pelicans14c6,429$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…e274backed Pelicans12c6,418$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Pelicans1c6,006$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pelicans15c5,972$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1461336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans8c5,945$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Pelicans5c5,898$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.831034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pelicans14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pelicans13c5,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67040035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans9c4,929$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.6181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e51…92bbbacked Pelicans14c4,900$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69721846.8%102 W · 116 L+16.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Pelicans11c4,823$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Pelicans16c4,450$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.0448347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans14c4,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Pelicans10c4,038$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026250.4%132 W · 130 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Pelicans16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64039744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Pelicans10c4,000$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.913625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8925…0d79backed Pelicans14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed Pelicans14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Pelicans15c3,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Pelicans11c3,322$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Pelicans14c3,100$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44564139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pelicans12c2,895$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Pelicans7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9935326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d97…a48ebacked Pelicans14c2,600$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…2b9cbacked Pelicans7c2,578$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Pelicans0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…d707backed Pelicans3c2,500$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe9…aa4cbacked Pelicans1c2,455$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid+29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pelicans17c2,373$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.3746940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Pelicans7c2,270$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Pelicans14c2,250$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3157850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Pelicans1c2,192$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7670%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b30…f3c7backed Pelicans13c2,100$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2781947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pelicans15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9356…6462backed Pelicans14c1,989$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.45837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Pelicans13c1,930$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.935531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Pelicans18c1,840$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.416440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Pelicans1c1,800$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Pelicans9c1,701$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16117723.7%42 W · 135 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans14c1,536$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2767…886abacked Pelicans11c1,534$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.391323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Pelicans15c1,533$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8912324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Pelicans1c1,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.510119.8%20 W · 81 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba7…cc9fbacked Pelicans14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pelicans13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Pelicans14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020728.5%59 W · 148 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6af…60fabacked Pelicans14c1,400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.031546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…e00dbacked Pelicans14c1,400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.011136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Pelicans7c1,400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Pelicans14c1,390$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.618332.2%59 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ea…9406backed Pelicans8c1,384$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f83…8c23backed Pelicans10c1,335$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.194320.9%9 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…4067backed Pelicans16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8147…7f6cbacked Pelicans16c1,228$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.13040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf71…92aebacked Pelicans15c1,133$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6096…e28fbacked Pelicans14c1,107$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f5…1eb3backed Pelicans14c1,100$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Pelicans9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.514537.9%55 W · 90 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked Pelicans12c1,062$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.623622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe8…32dfbacked Pelicans14c1,058$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.111275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans9c1,054$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Pelicans14c1,033$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14854838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Pelicans18c1,030$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.445324.5%13 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Pelicans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Pelicans16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040127.2%109 W · 292 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Pelicans14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298f…2228backed Pelicans14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.