NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e329796a1a0e1397395b33e0e537e9f85586af41c86940cf04d02a27d79eb79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 52c | 7,908$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Pelicans | 50c | 7,790$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.97 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…9dc0backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,700$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf276…8fbfbacked Pelicans | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans | 46c | 5,157$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Rockets | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…610fbacked Rockets | 53c | 2,677$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…872abacked Rockets | 53c | 2,670$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…7659backed Rockets | 53c | 2,588$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Rockets | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…012ebacked Rockets | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 46c | 2,213$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,106$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.24 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets | 54c | 2,067$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 73c | 1,903$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.2 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Rockets | 56c | 1,756$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.59 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rockets | 3c | 1,580$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Rockets | 55c | 1,016$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.79 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Rockets | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Pelicans | 23c | 850$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.5 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 47c | 798.53$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.18 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans | 46c | 724$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.96 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 51c | 701.79$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 44c | 664.43$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.08 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pelicans | 46c | 639$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.98 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Rockets | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 45c | 591.88$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.53 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 52c | 575.52$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Pelicans | 23c | 543$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.11 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Rockets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked Rockets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 37c | 498.2$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Rockets | 19c | 452$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 46c | 423.38$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Pelicans | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pelicans | 45c | 336.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans | 46c | 292.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 46c | 290.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Pelicans | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Rockets | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 51c | 270.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Rockets | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Pelicans | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…92bdbacked Rockets | 56c | 195.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Rockets | 55c | 169.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Pelicans | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 44c | 158.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rockets | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rockets | 51c | 140.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 133$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pelicans | 50c | 122.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Pelicans | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Rockets | 33c | 104.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 49c | 101.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Pelicans | 30c | 100.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 46c | 91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Pelicans | 58c | 89.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Rockets | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Pelicans | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 324 | 55.9%181 W · 143 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 76.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Rockets | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Rockets | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pelicans | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Pelicans | 51c | 52.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pelicans | 47c | 51.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Rockets | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Pelicans | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Rockets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Rockets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Rockets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Rockets | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Rockets | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pelicans | 46c | 40.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Rockets | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 52c | 39.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…b51abacked Rockets | 42c | 34.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pelicans | 44c | 33.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Rockets | 51c | 33.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pelicans | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…dc41backed Pelicans | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rockets | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 44c | 24.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 48c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…acf1backed Rockets | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Rockets | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Rockets | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.