TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Rockets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets52c7,908$4,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Pelicans50c7,790$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.977150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e1…9dc0backed Pelicans47c5,700$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf276…8fbfbacked Pelicans47c5,200$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans46c5,157$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.182,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Rockets3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9929810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068b…610fbacked Rockets53c2,677$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80c…872abacked Rockets53c2,670$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2a…7659backed Rockets53c2,588$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rockets54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Rockets53c2,300$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21941553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbd…012ebacked Rockets53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+83.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans46c2,213$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans46c2,106$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.241,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets54c2,067$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.9965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets73c1,903$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Rockets56c1,756$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.598647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Rockets3c1,580$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.061,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Rockets55c1,016$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7916053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Rockets7c1,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Pelicans23c850$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans47c798.53$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans46c724$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.961,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets51c701.79$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans44c664.43$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.081,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Pelicans46c639$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9826839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Rockets4c600$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans45c591.88$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.533,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets52c575.52$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Pelicans23c543$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.1139018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Rockets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10405%2 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d5…59cebacked Rockets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans37c498.2$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Rockets19c452$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.848156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans46c423.38$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.242,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Pelicans46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8316945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pelicans45c336.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.341,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans46c292.54$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans46c290.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.811,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170e…1a1abacked Pelicans50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Rockets55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets51c270.17$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.592,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Rockets52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets55c227.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Pelicans46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3933442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf91…92bdbacked Rockets56c195.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Rockets55c169.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8188845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Pelicans50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans44c158.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rockets55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rockets51c140.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.281,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pelicans52c133$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8416045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pelicans50c122.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.612,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Pelicans55c108$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.67045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Rockets33c104.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.074045%18 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans49c101.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Pelicans30c100.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.421642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans46c91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.142,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Pelicans58c89.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.685139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Rockets56c89.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1124363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Pelicans60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3332455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Pelicans52c76.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5248740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Rockets43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Rockets52c57.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pelicans47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0971245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Pelicans51c52.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Pelicans47c51.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1427144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Rockets56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Pelicans41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Rockets55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Rockets55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0f…84b9backed Rockets55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256464.1%41 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59a4…3fd8backed Rockets62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8280%0 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Rockets56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pelicans46c40.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7159141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Rockets71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.424358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets52c39.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d33…b51abacked Rockets42c34.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.450%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Pelicans44c33.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.971,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Rockets51c33.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2319232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pelicans44c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x074e…317fbacked Pelicans51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4116553.9%89 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…dc41backed Pelicans57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rockets45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans44c24.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans48c22.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93a…acf1backed Rockets54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Rockets50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106540%26 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7643…80cbbacked Rockets52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Rockets54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.