NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b39152a42bcbd468bffc9be740ef1d09d122c15cfe53402e05f33672eb60318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 4,573$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 4,567$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.88 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 4,431$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 49c | 2,002$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.16 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,655$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,187$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6aa1backed Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Under | 52c | 1,092$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.31 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.75 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 975$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 9c | 690.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 465$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 463$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 211.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Under | 52c | 193.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Under | 58c | 155.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 108.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 100.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 63.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 58.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…c5e9backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Under | 66c | 57.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 55c | 50.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 38c | 50.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 23.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…84a9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.