NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a287e28a93636e8c7f5fd583b987fba7b5a691bdeeb96cc2a86b850241ecaaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 9,059$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.35 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 56c | 8,044$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.7 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 57c | 8,044$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.9 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 7,385$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 3c | 4,688$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.04 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 56c | 2,876$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.52 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…5e11backed Over | 54c | 2,798$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…7eecbacked Under | 46c | 2,789$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…f2a0backed Over | 54c | 2,785$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…a02cbacked Under | 46c | 2,756$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5a…b712backed Under | 46c | 2,753$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…ff62backed Over | 54c | 2,742$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda2…2329backed Under | 46c | 2,741$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…fb48backed Over | 54c | 2,714$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…fddabacked Over | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 44c | 1,565$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.7 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 53c | 1,213$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.88 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 1,200$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…2220backed Over | 56c | 999$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 820.6$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 388$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 57c | 374.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 40c | 237.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 57c | 221.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 42c | 204.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 40c | 202.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 42c | 179.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 59c | 92.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 57c | 87.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 40c | 81.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 55c | 67.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Over | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…3059backed Over | 61c | 49.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Under | 44c | 45.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…a479backed Over | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…abdabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 26.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 60c | 21.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…c191backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…2c8bbacked Over | 58c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.