NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67db4eca2f72eaa2188e191aee1f840e3d32dfb3b7c6de003b5e75bfdfa183aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 52c | 6,843$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.36 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 5,524$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.05 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 5,162$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 51c | 4,845$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.87 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 49c | 3,582$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.63 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 2,562$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Over | 1c | 2,039$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,700$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.86 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 1,679$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.21 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,304$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,279$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 49c | 863.27$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.27 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 48c | 829.17$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.17 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 49c | 687.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 628.36$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Under | 48c | 520.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 428.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 364$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 47c | 225.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 198.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 188$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 52c | 170.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 51c | 170.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 157.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Over | 51c | 113.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 101.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 46c | 98.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Over | 55c | 97.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 68.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Under | 47c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 47.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 52c | 46.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Over | 52c | 41.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Over | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 46c | 37.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.