NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc3e87912df68ff1c45c4e33eb3b56945beb00affd8fa2bb1134f715022a06b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets | 52c | 22,576$11,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,739.52 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 48c | 19,517$9,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 49c | 13,996$6,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,138.17 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Rockets | 51c | 9,784$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 50c | 9,765$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.54 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Rockets | 0c | 9,572$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.56 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed Rockets | 0c | 4,813$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 49c | 4,710$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Rockets | 51c | 4,417$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.62 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rockets | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,996$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.96 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,395$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Rockets | 52c | 1,984$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.62 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Rockets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,672$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.79 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Rockets | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,343$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Rockets | 51c | 1,294$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,262$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pelicans | 60c | 1,170$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.39 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Rockets | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.92 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 54c | 920.85$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…92bdbacked Rockets | 52c | 793.71$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Pelicans | 49c | 699.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pelicans | 54c | 674.77$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.58 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pelicans | 48c | 643$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.85 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Pelicans | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked Rockets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 400.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 50c | 375.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 43c | 350.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Pelicans | 66c | 346.22$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Pelicans | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf276…8fbfbacked Pelicans | 53c | 313$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Pelicans | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Rockets | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…7bc9backed Rockets | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Rockets | 51c | 221.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Rockets | 52c | 221.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Rockets | 52c | 203.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Pelicans | 61c | 195.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Pelicans | 54c | 176.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Rockets | 65c | 176.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 133.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 130.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 51c | 120.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Rockets | 46c | 117.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Pelicans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pelicans | 49c | 99.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pelicans | 49c | 83.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rockets | 50c | 80.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…09acbacked Rockets | 51c | 80.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pelicans | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rockets | 20c | 76.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Rockets | 52c | 76.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Pelicans | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rockets | 52c | 57.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Rockets | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 53.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Pelicans | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Pelicans | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Pelicans | 54c | 51.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 51.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Rockets | 56c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Pelicans | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pelicans | 51c | 48.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Rockets | 51c | 42.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pelicans | 50c | 40.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…4b49backed Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Pelicans | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Rockets | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…915fbacked Pelicans | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…0047backed Rockets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf3…4a20backed Pelicans | 72c | 36.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 71cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 49c | 36.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 62c | 32.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.