TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$763,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$767,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c610,608$316,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316,771.6587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under48c500,000$240,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260,0004452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under48c64,858$31,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,458.334158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c42,500$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,8002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over52c41,865$21,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,769.7829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c15,048$7,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,718.543,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Under50c10,340$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.223884.2%32 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+59.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c9,468$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,782.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c5,555$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.624554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under49c5,493$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.685152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.045437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c5,046$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.3310553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under49c4,200$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.9924549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Under50c3,188$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59411049.1%54 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c2,666$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3336,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Over51c2,305$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.7212454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under49c2,143$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.4232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c2,081$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.0150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under49c2,055$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.9616254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,010$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.0332051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00015141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c1,464$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…ce8cbacked Under48c1,303$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,290$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under49c1,286$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.7142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c1,280$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.733,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over11c1,214$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.261,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,177$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.272,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,095$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.7621247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over51c1,080$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.7956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under49c1,078$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.6338750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c1,013$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.8767252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over52c973.08$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50643453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over53c958.21$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c941.79$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.7371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb9…6df0backed Under49c873.71$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over15c765.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c700.02$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.932,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over51c635.29$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32418241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Over51c549.95$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4816053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.25367.9%36 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under49c505.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0347349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c503.57$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Over5c487.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2870%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Under50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2025060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Under48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c361.82$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over10c314.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4850347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under51c309.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8928751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed Under49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Under49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.129942.4%42 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb4…bd40backed Under49c297.7$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.592035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under51c296.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.158240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8d6…f9eabacked Under49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.712951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c282.64$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.441,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under51c237.28$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3717155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over20c205.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2932346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under50c195.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.839046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over23c194.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.082,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.96753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Over9c138.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.433818.4%7 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Under50c126$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over10c121$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under50c114.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.135851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2466…f78abacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae12…790abacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over16c96.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4963427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over52c96.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014754.4%80 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…09acbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1569…3c17backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under49c83.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5f…2ec8backed Under48c83.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under49c82.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2735844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7656…194bbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under48c77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9786…f797backed Under75c66.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb527…29a7backed Under76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f7…8166backed Under76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9606…c991backed Under77c64.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.881478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a6…9050backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.