TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09f5…1eb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT7349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,216
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,626.86
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+576.8%+$2,641.93
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$896
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$561
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$413.99
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,819.99
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$1,799.97
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$171.6
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$965
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$188.5
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$92.59
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$53.69
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+194.1%+$330
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+121.1%+$493
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$123.31
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$12.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$40.4
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$264
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$22.3
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$36.66
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.51
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$120
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.38
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+29%+$22.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.36
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$379.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14.31
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+219.9%+$359.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$6,450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$87.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$159
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$490
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.