TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No23c21,814$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.4830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes77c12,795$9,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.8318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No24c6,544$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.5641437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No24c6,438$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.8213857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes76c5,085$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.373060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No23c4,314$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.1513829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes76c4,300$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.624766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes76c4,079$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.0611548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes53c4,050$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.5327024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No23c3,494$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.8121445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes19c3,402$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.2628070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes76c3,277$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.6612053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes77c3,140$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.142556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…a62cbacked Yes76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No23c2,950$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.6719735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No25c2,695$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.822231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No24c2,300$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No15c1,889$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No16c1,635$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes77c1,585$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No18c1,486$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b36…ed53backed Yes80c1,419$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.053043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd7…1778backed Yes79c1,220$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes77c893.45$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No16c836.78$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9238645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Yes77c831.17$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.172231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked No10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed Yes77c786.36$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.982653.8%14 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes77c779.99$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.46152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes78c698.94$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.941346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.897341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No25c617.89$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.485358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No24c499.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No38c406.91$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Yes76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.951154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No25c325.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Yes77c324.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.241154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid+26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No24c308.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No24c278$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7411855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes77c258.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9913449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3813…a558backed Yes77c257.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa756…48b3backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes76c250.72$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.59756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No24c230$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.28047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No21c230$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ab…7f0bbacked No24c217.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes77c195.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8823350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…b36dbacked Yes77c182.9$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.07366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes74c164.8$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8517837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec7…8c24backed No13c164.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.841361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.851546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No24c138.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.885860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8729653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8726054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8711052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No24c129.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.577452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.240135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.88334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed Yes75c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No24c101.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.295158.8%30 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f5…1eb3backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…25d2backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No24c92.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.818752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5c…e309backed Yes77c76.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac7…3a34backed No24c73.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7913354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57d…12b5backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.797061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9442755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes77c63.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5332736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No25c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7517153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No23c60.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.944358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No24c53.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.864360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dec…50d9backed Yes76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.959938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d4…ae49backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.956746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f67…be72backed Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No24c50.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.095558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked No24c49.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.042040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No48c48.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2214953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes77c46.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.816350.8%32 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No25c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7512357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes77c42.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.864456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0635…5cb5backed Yes76c39.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe215…e68cbacked Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4714057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4717146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes77c32.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.435646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.