Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fca428b7073930315a670fcacc08f9846cee516eebc003da11b4403a8c0df2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32c7…31e0backed Yes | 15c | 10,001$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…92cabacked Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 67c | 1,471$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.46 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 33c | 1,440$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.08 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 65c | 659.49$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.87 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 13c | 627.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 240.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 22c | 232.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 12c | 202.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 10c | 160.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…b36dbacked Yes | 75c | 127.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 18c | 108.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…be62backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…cec8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…a70dbacked No | 78c | 57.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.