Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b50032646e20987a7fd310cfc82095aef7b50b9a7165d31cfbfc61217e0e670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 18c | 22,569$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 17c | 4,053$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.04 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 8c | 3,735$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 16c | 1,209$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 18c | 1,165$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…a509backed No | 17c | 1,058$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 16c | 650.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked No | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 17c | 338.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 22c | 213.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed No | 21c | 143.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 22c | 134.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes | 78c | 111.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 16c | 107.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…9a97backed No | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked No | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked No | 17c | 59.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…6385backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…5245backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7a…5658backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…fd7ebacked Yes | 77c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…1eb3backed Yes | 79c | 28.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281e…b061backed Yes | 78c | 27.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…01c9backed Yes | 79c | 27.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…3012backed Yes | 80c | 26.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…1d6bbacked Yes | 79c | 24.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…3a3cbacked Yes | 80c | 22.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…9babbacked Yes | 79c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…1dc8backed Yes | 80c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1240backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…cad0backed Yes | 77c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…e9c6backed Yes | 80c | 18.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…492abacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…0771backed Yes | 77c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…1414backed Yes | 79c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…34bdbacked Yes | 79c | 16.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…b881backed Yes | 80c | 16.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…15e8backed Yes | 78c | 15.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…7479backed Yes | 77c | 15.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28f…35b4backed Yes | 79c | 13.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…2d82backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…fabebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea6…a73bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-25?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.