Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42843450e704621caf9212c16d4d0b968e41dadb882d0a07ea9ea78bd6a5178b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 6,550$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.65 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 5c | 2,383$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,958$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 6c | 776.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 684$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…584bbacked Yes | 6c | 646.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 7c | 595.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 7c | 480$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 7c | 461.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 7c | 328.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 8c | 310.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 6c | 278.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 10c | 121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2025-02-25?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.