New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38eb9b7c0fde42a41a54584d962f8d0d49e8d61fdb13475fe1e6b75d4be72093

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	21c	15,992$3,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,330.71	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under	1c	10,096$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.96	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	17c	4,702$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.78	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	15c	3,649$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.2	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	74c	3,636$2,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.57	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	16c	2,776$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.81	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	28c	2,420$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.44	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	72c	2,141$1,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.5	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	69c	1,647$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.83	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Under	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	94	8.5%8 W · 86 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	73c	847.71$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.39	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	76c	664.29$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.73	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under	17c	588.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Under	34c	574.82$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.44	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	15c	545.27$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.8	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	15c	473.05$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.78	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	71c	470.55$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.22	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under	32c	452.94$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.94	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	68c	441.18$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.18	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	74c	412$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.69	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under	26c	410$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.6	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	14c	409.26$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.22	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	17c	397.19$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.52	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under	5c	363.59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+12.6wins	+0.25per pick	14cpaid	+138.3%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over	73c	361$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.47	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under	16c	341.97$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.72	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	68c	334$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.09	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over	78c	324.26$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over	69c	290$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.3	95	73.7%70 W · 25 L	+15.1wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1c5b…350abacked Over	77c	287.29$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.08	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+104.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	20c	235.44$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.13	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Under	36c	232.31$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.63	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	14c	226.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.66	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under	14c	211.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	18c	180$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over	69c	168.12$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.12	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over	79c	150$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	72c	150$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb2…951bbacked Over	67c	147.39$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.64	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over	67c	147.03$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.52	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Under	17c	141.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.02	224	45.5%102 W · 122 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f27…4377backed Over	66c	138.89$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.47	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	67cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	17c	133.87$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	63c	125$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.75	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbff…ce3bbacked Over	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Over	63c	119.56$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.24	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b28…b87dbacked Under	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	17c	110.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Under	23c	104.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	99	54.5%54 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	17c	96.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under	14c	88.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+42%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x834e…53f4backed Under	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3136…3544backed Under	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x835d…f8dbbacked Under	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e46…2bb0backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f5…1eb3backed Over	68c	70$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.3	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	26c	66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	25c	65.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	69c	63.59$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.71	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Over	77c	58.44$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	25c	56.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Over	66c	53.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	69	68.1%47 W · 22 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbab…d156backed Over	65c	49.98$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under	32c	46.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a52…0c6fbacked Under	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over	69c	43.48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	181	58.6%106 W · 75 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over	70c	42.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	62c	38.47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.62	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5575…e51fbacked Over	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-49%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Over	78c	36.19$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…9394backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c3…c6b4backed Over	67c	22.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.39	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Over	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5this page
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event