Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6b58dfb9ab181300efd0ad3cc378aabacb7c9a7d07c1ec7506b0ecdd9de41a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 58c | 3,824$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 53c | 3,268$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.62 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 47c | 2,603$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.54 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 2,098$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.92 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 42c | 1,581$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.26 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 42c | 1,275$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.2 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 55c | 962.45$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.49 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 852.99$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.44 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 43c | 721$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.07 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 37c | 674.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.46 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 53c | 641.24$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 56c | 628$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 51c | 593.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.14 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 513.35$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.79 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 43c | 401.02$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.81 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 45c | 376.25$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 54c | 351.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 43c | 319.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…3cf4backed Under | 65c | 305.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 285.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Over | 44c | 224.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…b3d7backed Over | 41c | 188$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 38c | 153.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 148.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 146.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 42c | 142$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 140$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 285 | 44.6%127 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 42c | 93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 46c | 91.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 84.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 43c | 83.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 41c | 60.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 53.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 37c | 53.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 50.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 48.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 42c | 36.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Over | 41c | 30.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…6be3backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.