Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b294a370acab1fceb10c6e7de528ac1060a779222acc18c327b2d5771956dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 14,086$7,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,742 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Over | 57c | 13,698$7,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,774.55 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 38c | 11,084$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.01 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 7,977$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482.42 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 4,592$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 55c | 1,817$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.09 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 816.17$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 556.9$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 56c | 523.38$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 44c | 373.47$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Under | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 43c | 344.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 43c | 287.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed Under | 41c | 225.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 47c | 209.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 45c | 188.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 43c | 172.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Over | 57c | 159.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 48c | 83.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…a489backed Over | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under | 44c | 67.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 56c | 49.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 47.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 56c | 36.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…5d51backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…04f2backed Over | 56c | 34.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…d978backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…baf7backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Under | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Over | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 57c | 24.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 47c | 24.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 56c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…9c6dbacked Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.