New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf580cb6e79c7baa4ac3a5f0e160d9d6513384590e2965bb0327089003854056a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $108,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	72c	12,117$8,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,332.93	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	12c	7,886$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.29	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	15c	3,321$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.92	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Under	55c	3,177$1,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,436.3	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	27c	2,974$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.34	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	27c	2,652$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.44	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	30c	2,636$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.03	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over	40c	2,471$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.4	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Over	41c	1,855$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.55	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	70c	1,709$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.72	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	43c	1,538$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.88	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	42c	1,500$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Over	19c	1,352$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.25	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	11c	1,337$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.94	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	78c	1,093$856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.22	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over	17c	1,086$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	179	38%68 W · 111 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over	46c	1,025$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.26	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over	46c	969.57$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	31c	854$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.6	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	47c	782.52$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.26	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under	75c	699.46$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.86	161	65.8%106 W · 55 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under	80c	558.35$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.67	195	45.6%89 W · 106 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	80c	531.31$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.26	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Over	20c	497.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.57	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76e…5593backed Over	20c	473.2$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.64	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e2a4backed Over	24c	458.33$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over	28c	440.04$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	202	24.8%50 W · 152 L	-15.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over	30c	414.08$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.2	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	38c	396.3$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.2	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	56c	338.57$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.97	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	19c	331.03$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.9	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over	43c	284.19$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9402…21febacked Over	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	15c	260$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.56	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	41c	256.15$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.24	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over	20c	252.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under	50c	246$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6d…8b43backed Over	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Under	54c	220$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.2	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…2878backed Over	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	80c	207.25$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.45	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over	6c	189.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	399	32.6%130 W · 269 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	63c	186.66$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	50c	179$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under	54c	163.09$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.09	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e44…f303backed Over	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	84	19%16 W · 68 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e46…2bb0backed Over	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a3…223ebacked Over	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ab…69b5backed Under	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4886…6a97backed Over	20c	126.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Over	19c	120$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	75c	114.01$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.61	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	27c	110.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.16	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+20.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	18c	106.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	50c	104$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	46c	79.42$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.53	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	51c	76$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e85…418dbacked Over	19c	55.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1585…c3b7backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	247	45.7%113 W · 134 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+19.7wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over	44c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	324	33.6%109 W · 215 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c18…926abacked Over	24c	42.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over	48c	41.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	257	54.5%140 W · 117 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	55c	40.8$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	44c	39.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.18	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	41c	36.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	116	59.5%69 W · 47 L	+13.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Under	80c	35.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.14	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0925…8225backed Over	40c	35.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18c…e6ccbacked Over	49c	30.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Over	40c	26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce49…d7a1backed Over	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5this page
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event