TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa179…258ebacked Over0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over32c18,485$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under66c10,755$7,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.3244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…3385backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-77.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c9,860$3,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over4c8,908$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under71c8,212$5,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.481,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under60c7,920$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.1236250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c7,388$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c6,471$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over31c6,043$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c6,000$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.491,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over32c4,753$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c4,601$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c3,212$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.241,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under71c2,730$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.3937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under70c2,643$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.2838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over32c2,621$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c2,518$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.733,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over33c2,424$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c2,399$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.334,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under67c2,078$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under62c2,065$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.0664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over31c1,963$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.9512528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under67c1,894$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.0218850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over19c1,800$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33422835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under42c1,544$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.8134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under67c1,472$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.7626454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under72c1,449$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.681,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over28c1,398$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38817938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c1,345$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c1,342$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c1,292$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over40c1,255$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4933438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over12c1,109$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over33c1,070$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35346223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63db…174cbacked Under47c1,066$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.356341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under73c1,054$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.862,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over32c1,035$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33316123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over21c1,005$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over7c887.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over50c802$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40127655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under69c721.95$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.311,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over30c708.73$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over31c692.83$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over41c664.46$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6869744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over31c639.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under68c635.31$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6537051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c630.57$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.421,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over32c610.35$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.038338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over36c563.92$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3420337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6497…2b3fbacked Over33c552.36$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under44c549.34$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3121143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Over28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under49c527.91$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under68c524.62$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.883246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Over48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409118.7%17 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c6…276abacked Under67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658934.8%31 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc79c…5709backed Over6c477.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under60c456.31$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over31c441.94$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13711634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under63c431.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.225955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Over31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9823440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37a…4c69backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+84.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Over50c327.6$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c322.18$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under70c312$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.637452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under67c312$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9634851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…c59dbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over31c273.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.729325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over10c269.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over59c265$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.352,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over35c257.62$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0247744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over41c243.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over54c243.25$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3613727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over37c243.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.467647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Under50c241.77$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.211741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.