TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$545,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$576,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Over71c150,000$106,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,499.9733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c77,286$22,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,083.763,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under29c63,669$18,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,266.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under26c28,803$7,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,523.3977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under19c21,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9902441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over74c13,500$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,51014045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under19c12,370$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.12,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over73c10,014$7,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.091,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Over74c8,327$6,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.9715157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over74c8,108$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.1145428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over74c6,001$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over73c5,479$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.458672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over73c5,053$3,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,333$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3321314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under23c4,003$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.3136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c3,651$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.881,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over72c3,543$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c3,503$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.71,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c2,900$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under10c2,752$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under20c2,704$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Under21c2,534$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.783754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under27c2,400$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under14c2,199$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8824626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under29c2,087$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.231,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under11c2,082$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7919529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over74c1,987$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.682,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under20c1,900$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38012432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over80c1,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37517938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under21c1,810$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.437828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under29c1,747$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…1e01backed Over74c1,676$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.895168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under29c1,619$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.111,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Under20c1,536$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.288025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39019850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55be…fb40backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.358252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked Over80c1,288$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.032792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.2wins+0.23per pick70cpaid+56.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over73c1,226$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over71c1,186$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.986648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a6…620abacked Under28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005516.4%9 W · 46 L-11.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-58.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Under28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Under27c1,070$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.995242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over71c1,028$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.471,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.249351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30021850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under28c992.8$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over77c973.55$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.925541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over79c935.34$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.161,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under12c920.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.481,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…5aebbacked Over73c917.19$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.642070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x337a…62dbbacked Under33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006543.1%28 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Over74c900$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2349733%32 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c877.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.274,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under14c850.9$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.961,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df0…7939backed Over79c841.66$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.696835.3%24 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over79c832.39$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under27c815.27$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1152744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under30c751.14$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.818548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Over79c714.29$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under14c706.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.152,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6817339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under16c642.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6626534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over70c607.05$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under20c600$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.857541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over79c600$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2815763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Under20c597$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.417745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under11c584.81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under13c576.8$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.312,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Over73c575.34$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.348038.8%31 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under15c573$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over77c567.96$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.249573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under35c566.66$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3319744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over69c548.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.711,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…30cabacked Under28c541.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.583622.2%8 W · 28 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Under11c535.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5412341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under22c517.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1645536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15515052%78 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under27c482.92$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3913548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under21c477.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2746445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under11c447.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5424162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under27c420$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9663152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4120049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d5…51fdbacked Under28c405.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.463724.3%9 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x80db…66aebacked Under28c404.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.343826.3%10 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x66f7…c691backed Over73c403.02$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.828773.6%64 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under28c390.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.