Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0413637e11b3f5fb80458276b757834194947eda75481e256cc5d9bc0ffbf3aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 58,724$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 21,095$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.17 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 8c | 7,627$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 7,346$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 8c | 7,146$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.74 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Under | 7c | 5,418$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.84 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 10c | 5,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 1c | 4,012$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Under | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 8c | 1,234$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 9c | 1,127$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 8c | 1,113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 10c | 995.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 8c | 968.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 7c | 783.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 9c | 700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 8c | 643.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 8c | 550$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…9293backed Under | 8c | 462.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 8c | 420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 8c | 399.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…5e08backed Under | 8c | 396.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 5c | 362.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 7c | 349.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Under | 10c | 333.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 7c | 299.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 7c | 291.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 7c | 285.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Under | 8c | 230$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 10c | 228.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 10c | 202.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Under | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 8c | 187$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 9c | 179.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…d0a9backed Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 141.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5this page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.