TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under43c32,948$14,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,224.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over57c25,000$14,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,75010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x835d…f8dbbacked Under0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Under44c15,902$6,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,996.865843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.9953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over56c12,500$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over56c10,625$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,675.0716953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c8,742$4,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,933.392,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c7,563$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under44c6,825$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0038251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under44c5,063$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c4,138$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.871,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c3,213$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.932,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over56c2,860$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c1,947$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under45c1,094$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.57346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under45c999.95$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9819545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Under45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Over55c884.04$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.636516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over54c792.23$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.4327028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c789.92$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.483,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…f5fcbacked Under45c700.22$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c589.44$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.42,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over55c563.64$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6412556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over57c524.15$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1517948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c479.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21617255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over53c468.34$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.436350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over56c396.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.13,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under44c343.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15058029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c322.13$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.533,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under44c299.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over53c270.76$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.761,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c244.69$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.052,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over57c229.01$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0125754.5%140 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over55c185.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50dc…ef30backed Over56c169.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.646152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over56c139.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.486434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under45c136.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.37655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under45c132.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over55c131.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.121341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under44c128.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.341,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c119.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.521,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c112.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.811,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under44c109.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4817735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8d…1b84backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413357.1%76 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Under44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b86…ff5bbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9144144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over57c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6306…f58abacked Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.437729.9%23 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.410273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over79c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d58…80b2backed Over56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.514739.5%58 W · 89 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c59.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under45c55.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.831,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb0…6367backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5716349.7%81 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under45c50.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.931,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c7…892cbacked Over54c50.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.386952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2355942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c46.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.793,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Over56c45.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0822445.5%102 W · 122 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4b…f395backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834e…53f4backed Under46c43.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-67.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe52c…26d0backed Over55c42.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3f…66e5backed Over56c41.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.073158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…0f43backed Under44c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.834544.1%152 W · 193 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over52c38.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6525945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…656abacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0411545.2%52 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe2…f54abacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0912955.8%72 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ce…5310backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e7b…2564backed Over57c34.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9411245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…0411backed Under46c33.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.213948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…c8f4backed Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159057.8%52 W · 38 L+11.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under44c31.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6745254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c28.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under46c27.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8232837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under38c27.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.443412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x1e72…1482backed Under48c25.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127250%36 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c23.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked Under47c21.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2325748.6%125 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffab…78babacked Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812267.2%82 W · 40 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04c7…5573backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.